Newsworthy Updates – February 24, 2010

–  Is the recent dip in spending, consumer confidence related to weather?  Interesting perspective from the Financial Times.

–  “Fed to Get $200 Billion Boost.” Bernanke says rates to stay low for now, but Treasury cash helps prepare for future hike

–  More big news out of Capitol Hill – “Financial Reform Bill Appears Likely.”  Could have fundamental impact on markets.

–  15 amazing facts about China.  Like this one: They will build 10 new New Yorks in the next decade

–  Positive recovery news – “Poll: Economists see ‘healthy’ expansion under way”

Posted in Newsworthy Updates | Comments Off on Newsworthy Updates – February 24, 2010

Ten Fundamentals of Financial Planning

While the market turmoil of the last couple of years has been different to say the least, those with sound financial planning have been able to weather the storm far better than most.  Moreover, they have experienced relative peace of mind which comes from planning for the unexpected as well as the expected.

Here is a list of ten financial planning fundamentals.  It is important to acknowledge that these principles may not apply to everyone depending on wealth, age, risk tolerance and other factors.  But generally they are a good checklist for your consideration.

1.  Take All Assets & Income into Consideration

The management of investment portfolios should be considered within the context of all assets and income sources including real estate, owned businesses, trust income, pensions, etc.   Other sources of income and asset appreciation are important to complementary management of investment portfolios.

2.  Determine Investment Time Horizon

The time horizon for investments is critically important.  Funds required for expenditure within one to three years should not be exposed to the stock market.  It’s too volatile, and the risk of having to sell investments at disadvantaged prices to meet short term needs for cash is too great.  At the same time, funds required for long term needs such as retirement living expenses and children’s education should be invested with a significant portion in equities.  Stocks may fluctuate in price, but they alone can provide the returns for long term expenditures while maintaining investment portfolio purchasing power to keep up with inflation.  The long term compounded annual returns for stocks have been about 10% compared to about 6% for bonds.

3.  Manage Investments to Maximize After-Tax Returns

It is important to manage investment returns on an after tax basis.  For clients who have both a retirement account and a taxable account, the location of income investments in the appropriate account is very important.  Many investors own income investments in their currently taxable accounts when it is more efficient to hold them in retirement accounts where taxes are deferred.

4.  Limit Planned Returns & Withdrawals to 7-8% & 4-5%

Savings and investment goals should be realistically set to provide investment portfolios sufficient to meet lifetime needs, with average long term expected returns on principal generally not exceeding 7-8% per annum and annual long term draws on principal generally not exceeding 4-5% per annum.  While there may be exceptions to these rules depending upon circumstances, they are a good starting point.

5.  Allocate Assets between Equity & Income Investments

Long term investment portfolios should have carefully selected asset allocations between equities and income investments, monitored over time.  Asset allocation is a dynamic process which changes with circumstances as people age and portfolios grow.  Generally speaking, the older the investor, the greater should be the investment in income securities for dependability of higher current yields and reduced volatility.  Today, with a 65 year-old couple, there is a fifty percent chance that at least one of them will survive until age 95, and that requires sound asset allocation planning.

6.  Diversify Investments to Reduce Risk

Investment portfolios should be well diversified to avoid the risk of too much invested in any single investment, no matter how good it may seem to be.  Too many eggs in one basket is never a good idea.

7.  Do Not Panic & Sell Good Investments at Distressed Prices

When an investment decreases in market value, it should be re-examined for selling, holding or increasing the investment.  Judging when to buy and when to sell based on market sentiment is impossible, and the vagaries of market timing are unfathomable.  Do not panic and sell good investments at distressed prices.

8.  Cover Catastrophic Risk with Appropriate Insurance

Catastrophic risks should be covered by appropriate insurance, particularly exposure to loss of earned income, exposure to medical expenses and exposure to liability claims.  Life insurance and disability insurance to cover loss of employment earnings, comprehensive health insurance to cover medical expenses for all family members and personal liability umbrella insurance to cover potential exposure to negligence lawsuits are all essential.

9.  Keep Debt Manageable at Low Interest Rates

Borrowing must be manageable, avoiding excessive servicing requirements and high interest rates, especially debt for which interest is not tax deductible.

10.  Carefully Prepare Life-End & Estate Documents

Everyone should have carefully and professionally prepared life-end and estate planning documents including a current Will, Advanced Medical Directive and Durable Power of Attorney.

Sounds simple, doesn’t it?  Well it is, but it is surprising how many investors do not follow these fundamentals of financial planning, many to their ultimate regret. Don’t be one of them!

Posted in Edgemoor Insights, Financial Planning | Comments Off on Ten Fundamentals of Financial Planning

Where to Invest for Income Today

At Edgemoor Investment Advisors, we look broadly across various asset classes to find opportunities to invest for income.  Most financial advisory firms limit their income investments to Treasurys and corporate bonds.  While these have been an important component of our portfolios recently, the more consistent mainstays of our income strategy are preferred stocks, master limited partnerships, utilities, and other securities with high yields.

The mix of securities and asset classes that we buy changes over time, depending on market conditions.  For example, beginning in the fall of 2008 we saw an opportunity to buy high-quality bonds, mostly investment grade but also some high yield, at significant discounts as a result of the turmoil in the credit markets. We stuck with relatively short maturities and companies with strong balance sheets, and we were able to find bonds with yields to maturity (the combination of coupon payments and the expected change in price to par value over time) often in the neighborhood of 7%-8%, but varying depending on the specifics of the security.

Now that credit markets have improved and, as a result, bond spreads have narrowed, we no longer find as many securities with these characteristics.  Today we typically must either accept a lower yield for the same credit quality, or buy lower-quality bonds to get a yield comparable to what we were finding previously.  That’s not to say that there are not still attractive corporate bonds available – many of the bonds we find now are suitable for our portfolios.  However, the rare opportunity presented amidst the market crisis has largely gone away.

We are now returning our primary income focus to the other types of securities that we have long held in our portfolios.  Preferred stocks, including those issued by real estate investment trust (REITS) and some financial institutions, offer attractive yields in the range of 7%-8%.  Master limited partnerships, which are usually energy producers or pipeline companies, offer yields of 6%-8%.  Finally, common stocks such as gas and electric utilities and telecom carriers, among others, provide dividend yields in the 4%-6% range.  While these securities do not mature like bonds, we like the combination of high yields, rising dividends/payouts, and potential for capital appreciation.

This universe of our potential income investments, much broader than what most financial advisors consider for their income portfolios, provides a variety of attractive opportunities to generate income for our clients.  We welcome your comments and thoughts.

Paul Meehan

Posted in Edgemoor Insights | Comments Off on Where to Invest for Income Today

Edgemoor On Home-Loan-Backed Securities & The Federal Reserve

Yesterday, Kristina Peterson of the Dow Jones Newswires reported that the Federal Reserve will cease all purchases of home-loan-backed securities- the likes of which it purchases in bulk from government controlled Ginnie Me, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac – next month, as previously announced.

While this decision could lead to an increases in mortgage rates, markets are anticipating the Fed’s move and, as a result, there may be no dramatic bump in rates at the end of March.

Edgemoor Managing Director Jordan Smyth was a source for the article:

…latest Fed statements show no wavering on the program’s Mar. 31 expiration date and the market is now beginning to anticipate its end.

“It shouldn’t be a surprise to anybody,” said Jordan Smyth, managing director of Edgemoor Investment Advisors in the Washington area. The central bank has made it a point to communicate clearly to the market what to expect and then deliver on that promise, he said, “rather than have people think if things don’t work out perfectly, there’s another bailout coming.”

As the Fed continues to scale back efforts such as these – pulling back the throttle of government-induced economic stimulus – it will be very interesting to note the changes to the economic landscape. So far, Chairman Bernanke has been appropriately measured in his approach, and we’ll keep a close eye an any future developments as they arise.

Posted in Edgemoor Insights | Comments Off on Edgemoor On Home-Loan-Backed Securities & The Federal Reserve

Newsworthy Updates – February 12, 2010

–  Landmark news: Berkshire Hathaway joins S&P 500 today. Brings long-term value and stability to investors and the market.

–  What does Snowmaggedon mean for the economy?

–  Retail sales rose by 0.5% in January, inventories dropped in mixed news for economy.

–  FT: “Short View” w/ John Authers.  Panic in Greece subsides, Fed explains exit strategy, & exports rebound.

–  Reassuring news for the economy & financial markets: “New Jobless Claims Tumble”.

–  Highlights of the crisis from an insider’s viewpoint.  What I Learned From Hank Paulson’s Book

–  Interesting, for those of us who like our gadgets.  BW: What Your Gadget Really Costs.

Posted in Newsworthy Updates | Comments Off on Newsworthy Updates – February 12, 2010